BFCA Critics' Choice Awards Predictions

The BFCA's 16th annual Critics' Choice Awards airs this Friday evening, representing the first of a string of televised award ceremonies all leading up to the Academy Awards in late February. Though this one has a tendency to slip under the radar a bit, it's important to note that it does hold some weight as a credible and foretelling awards ceremony. Being the first televised awards show of the season, it has a chance to really set the tone for the remaining heavyweights (Golden Globes, SAGs, etc.).

The Broadcast Film Critics Association (BFCA) is comprised of approximately 250 television, radio and online critics, making it the largest film critic organization in the United States. Unlike the AMPAS (Oscar voters), the BFCA is run by professional journalists who are obligated—and paid to—see every film that has a real chance of contention each year. And although the Academy is comprised of some of the most prestigious industry professionals, it's important to realize that these people simply do not get a chance to see every film each year. Also, since many Academy members are Hollywood insiders, it's possible for some bias and favoritism to skew voting results. Of course, this can also be true of the BFCA, but i'm thinking that it's probably much less of an issue. Critics are journalists, and they are expected to remain professional, critical, and as objective as possible.

Also, the BFCA didn't nominate The Tourist in any category this year, which automatically gives it more credibility than the Hollywood Foreign Press.

My predictions after the jump...


Best Picture
The Social Network
(Alternate: The King's Speech)

Best Director
David Fincher, The Social Network
(Alternate: Tom Hooper, The King's Speech)

Best Actor
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
(Alternate: James Franco, 127 Hours)

Best Actress
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
(Alternate: Annette Bening, The Kids are All Right)

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter
(Alternate: Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech)

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, The Fighter
(Alternate: Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom)

Best Young Actor/Actress
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
(Alternate: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit)

Best Acting Ensemble
The Social Network
(Alternate: The King's Speech)

Best Original Screenplay
Christopher Nolan, Inception
(Alternate: David Seidler, The King's Speech)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
(Alternate: Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy, 127 Hours)

Best Cinematography
Roger Deakins, True Grit
(Alternate: Matthew Libatique, Black Swan)

Best Comedy
Easy A
(Alternate: I Love You Phillip Morris)

Best Action Movie
Inception
(Alternate: The Town)


There are other technical categories (art direction, editing, sound, score, etc.) but I'm not going to go into any of those, as I really can't make an educated guess on who'll win.

Watch the Critics' Choice Movie Awards this Friday night on VH1 to see how my predictions stack up.